1.How could the initiative change land use and development in Santee in the future?
According to SANDAG's projections, Santee will not be able to accommodate the projected future residential or industrial demand on the remaining vacant land in the city.
If the initiative is passed, it will much more difficult to amend the city’s General Plan to address shifts in the economy or meet the community’s pressing needs. One foreseeable result is there will not be enough residential and industrial space in Santee by 2050.
There will be 5,316 residential units demanded by 2050. However, the City of Santee indicates a residential capacity of 3,496 residential units. This would create a shortage of 1,820 housing units by 2050.
To avoid negative impacts to the city’s fiscal health and residents’ quality of life, the city will need flexibility to address these demands by amending its General Plan, just like numerous California cities have done.
2.How could the initiative impact the City’s long-term fiscal health?
The impact study analyzed a series of possible scenarios. One was, what would happen if the proposed Fanita Ranch project is denied? A likely result of the initiative passing. The study found Fanita Ranch will provide millions of dollars in one-time fees and annual revenue to benefit the City of Santee that would otherwise not available. If the initiative passes, the city would lose out on these funds.
The passing of the Proposed Initiative would decrease significantly the potential funding for infrastructure. Development plans for Fanita Ranch estimate a new total of more than $132 million in additional benefits for the City of Santee.
All of the additional benefit would be realized in multiple infrastructure categories including parks, public facilities, traffic mitigation, schools and infrastructure improvements. These fees would not be available to the city should Fanita Ranch not be approved.
3.How could the initiative affect the long-term sustainability of the local economy, in terms of the community’s ability to retain and attract business investment and jobs?
The inability of the city to meet the housing capacity needs as outlined by SANDAG’s forecast would likely inhibit the ability of the city to attract new businesses and subsequent employment.
This ballot initiative would lead to a shortage in housing in Santee, , which could cause potential employers to invest in other communities better able to house the workforce they need.